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The Pound rallies while the Rand stays stuck in the mud

By 1st Contact 17-04-18 10:41

The past week we saw some incredible GBP strength, moving the Sterling to the highest point against many currencies since the Brexit referendum result last year. This comes as UK political uncertainty is reduced, following an unexpected early agreement on a Brexit transition deal. As such, the Rand weakened against the Pound, however, the local currency remained in a tight range against the USD.

ramaphosa PIC land expropriation stimulus package

Rand weaker as international risk appetite ebbs

By 1st Contact 10-04-18 11:26

Last week saw the South African Rand weaken to its lowest in more than two weeks in a major sell-off of emerging market currencies. Most EM currencies came under pressure as the war of words between the U.S. and China about imposing tariffs escalated, posing fears of a global trade war.

Relief for the Rand after Moody’s rating review

By 1st Contact 27-03-18 12:22

Over the last week we saw numerous data events. In the UK, we had inflation data which came in lower than expected, the negative effect of which was counteracted by a drop in the unemployment rate in the UK. Following the two days of volatility brought on by these events, we had an even more […]

Cyril Ramaphosa salary

Rand steady as jittery investors eye Moody’s ratings decision

By 1st Contact 13-03-18 11:02

The past week has shown that the near-future is looking good for the South African Rand. The local currency has become sturdier under the leadership of the increasingly reform-orientated Cyril Ramaphosa. This Monday, the ZAR opened with steady gains after maintaining the strong position it notched up last week. This strength was seen even as the US Federal Reserve seems to be hinting that it will accelerate its pace of interest rate increases this year.

Rand growth stalls as global fears of a trade war and local uncertainty over land reform loom large

By 1st Contact 06-03-18 13:36

The local currency weakened below the 12.00 psychological threshold, reaching a low of 12.02 to the Dollar at 09:30 yesterday. The Rand went on to recover to a high of 11.82 Rand to the Dollar as of 09:40 this morning. Recent Rand strength has been shown to be delicate in the shadow of global developments, with the local currency weakening as investors drop riskier assets for safer investments as a result of a looming US-led trade war.

Nhlanhla Nene: Five things you didn't know about the new Finance Minister

The Rand stays strong, trades in a tight range

By 1st Contact 27-02-18 14:13

The Rand has been buoyed by positive sentiment since last week’s Budget speech and rumours of a Cabinet reshuffle on the cards at the ANC National Executive Committee. Further support was expected during and after last night’s reshuffling of Malusi Gigaba and the reappointment of Nhlanhla Nene as Finance Minister.

Cyril Ramaphosa salary

The Rand holds steady in the face of mounting pressure ahead of today’s 2018 Budget Speech

By 1st Contact 21-02-18 11:46

Last week the Rand experienced its strongest week of 2018. The local currency gained 3% with Cyril Ramaphosa being sworn in as South Africa’s president after Jacob Zuma’s much hoped for resignation. Advances were made against the US Dollar from R12.02 to R11.62 by Friday’s close. In anticipation leading up to Zuma’s exit speech, the Rand held onto recent strength and began making further gains on Wednesday evening when Zuma addressed the nation and resigned as South Africa’s president.

Ramaphosa Q and A

#Zexit expectations keep the Rand firm ahead of ANC media briefing

By 1st Contact 13-02-18 12:50

The Rand held firm in the 11.90s to the Dollar on Monday as speculation around #Zexit grew to a fever pitch as positive sentiment pushed the Rand to a peak of R11.88 to the Dollar, while the rumour mill continued to churn out talk that Zuma had decided to resign. The presidency rejected these rumours as “fake news” and following that, the Rand traded in a narrow band to close at R11.94 to the Dollar yesterday.

How much does it cost to live in London in 2018?

By 1st Contact 08-02-18 16:36

London is certainly one of the greatest cities on earth, which means thousands of people emigrate to the capital city every year. If you’re looking to do the same, you’re probably already aware that it’s one seriously pricey city to live in. However, there is some good news: Due to the weakening Pound the cost of living in London has recently dropped, making this potentially the perfect time to make the big move.

Hold tight: The Rand is about to get very, very jumpy

By 1st Contact 12-12-17 10:57

It’s an anxious yet exciting week ahead for the Rand and the South African economy as a whole. With only one week to go before the ANC elective conference, tensions are high, and traders will need to be on their toes. It’s going to be tough to effectively manage the wide range factors coming into play in the market this week. As always, we urge everyone to exercise restraint and to remember that wealth accumulation is a long-game, and short-term noise should be, as much as possible, ignored.

Cyril Ramaphosa to be sworn in as President on Thursday afternoon

Cyril’s backers crack the Rand’s multi-month slump

By 1st Contact 05-12-17 13:05

With the two-horse ANC presidential race beginning to lean in favour of Cyril Ramaphosa, the market is starting to price in his victory and the Rand is firming up. This was compounded with the news that South Africa managed to dodge a bullet when Moody’s decided to postpone our credit rating downgrade until the political fog clouding the presidential race had lifted. All this buoyed the Rand in last week’s trading.

Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma minister deputy president

Rand rebounds despite expectations following the downgrade

By 1st Contact 28-11-17 13:10

Against all odds, the Rand exhibited significant strength on Monday. The South African currency opened the week at R14.105 to the US Dollar, R16.821 to the Euro and R18.78 to the British Pound. By the close of business, the Rand strengthened to R13.732 to the US Dollar, R16.374 to the Euro and R18.329 to the British Pound.

Zimbabweans head to the polls in second general election

The Rand makes a comeback against all major pairs as Mugabe falls

By 1st Contact 22-11-17 10:35

As usual, it’s a volatile time for the South African Rand. Last week there were movements of more than 50 cents against all major pairs. Despite early-week depreciation, the ZAR made a significant recovery heading towards the weekend, with the USD pulling all the way down below the 14.00 psychological mark. It remains to be seen how the local currency will fare in the run up to the big credit ratings decision on Friday.

ANC credentials

ZAR stabilises ahead of ANC Elective Conference as investors step back

By 1st Contact 07-11-17 12:04

The Rand ended last week more than two percent down as investors who had bought cheap ZAR-based assets earlier in the week sold out. Firm US data also piled pressure on the local currency. This week should see the market stabilise as it has had time to adjust to Minster Malusi Gigaba’s negative mini-budget presentation.

Eskom inquiry: Malusi Gigaba accepts no responsibility for state capture

Budget speech causes the Rand to slump

By 1st Contact 01-11-17 11:13

It’s been a rough ride for the Rand this last week. The Budget Speech set off a period of Rand weakness that has yet to abate. While Rand fundamentals are looking quite dire, and our political situation looking murky as ever, the local currency has managed, perhaps only just, to hang on.

The Rand rollercoaster picks up speed

By 1st Contact 18-10-17 11:10

The Rand experienced significant gains toward the back end of last week. The South African currency closed the week at 17.624 and 13.267 against the Pound and US Dollar respectively. This translated to a business week gain of 2.63% against the Sterling and 3.51% against the Greenback. However, following a surprise cabinet reshuffle, the Rand lost some of these gains at the start of this week.

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Pound and Dollar pile pressure on already wobbly Rand

By 1st Contact 10-10-17 12:20

Over the past week we have seen the ZAR weaken quite a bit. The reasons for this move has been attributed to numerous factors, such as the improved outlook on the USD and local political scandals rocking the market. In the UK and the US, there have been statements regarding raising of interest rates, which definitely contributed to the ZAR’s slide.

US Dollar surges as Rand falters

By 1st Contact 03-10-17 12:02

The Rand weakened on Friday as the South African government recorded a R13 billion budget deficit in August, following a R92 billion shortfall in July, which stoked fears that the country may not avoid future credit downgrades.

Rand subdued as global risk appetite wanes

By 1st Contact 27-09-17 13:28

The South African Rand opened last week marginally lower compared to last week, as investors worried over global risk events such as tensions between North Korea and the US, as well as the German election outcome.

Tom Moyane

Volatility and scandals move the Rand

By 1st Contact 19-09-17 11:51

The last week saw some dramatic volatility in the markets in both South African and abroad. The GBP has been on the charge, while the Rand has taken a bit of a beating in the last week or so. Meanwhile, the Dollar has been weaker due to the recent spate of natural disasters as well as ongoing geopolitical tensions.

taxpayers jacob zuma

Rand report: It’s been a quiet week, relax

By 1st Contact 29-08-17 12:57

For now, any ZAR weakness needs to be seen against the backdrop of a defensive USD. The post Trump rally has now been undone as the USD is trading at levels last seen a year and a half ago. The Greenback is staying above the 13.00 USD-ZAR mark.

Zuma dodges a bullet while the Rand continues to see-saw

By 1st Contact 15-08-17 16:03

Last week Monday it was announced that an eighth attempt to oust Zuma was scheduled to take place, only this time the vote of no confidence would be a secret ballot, thus protecting those ANC members who have switched to the anti-Zuma camp. The Rand reacted virtually instantly to the announcement, seeing the ZAR strengthen […]

#ZumaQandA

Rand on the uptick ahead of Zuma no-confidence vote

By 1st Contact 08-08-17 14:47

South Africa’s Rand has been in full retreat since the beginning of the month. Investors anticipated further weakness as the currency broke through successive technical levels in an economy in recession with possible ratings downgrades on the horizon. The local currency has made up some of this lost ground on Monday.

Rand on the uptick ahead of Zuma no-confidence vote

By 1st Contact 08-08-17 04:19

South Africa’s rand has been in full retreat since the beginning of the month. Investors anticipated further weakness as the currency broke through successive technical levels in an economy in recession with possible ratings downgrades on the horizon. The local currency has made up some of this lost ground on Monday. The rand tumbled to […]

interest rate

Rand unsettled after Moody’s report

By 1st Contact 02-08-17 11:59

The South African Rand has weakened by 4% over the past couple weeks as renewed credit ratings concerns started to surface. On Monday, Moody’s released a report that cited ongoing structural growth concerns and worries over the independence of the South African Reserve Bank.

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The Rand stays strong following surprise rate cut

By 1st Contact 25-07-17 16:09

It’s been an interesting week. Last week began with Chinese data surprising on the upside, causing the commodity currencies (ZAR, AUD) to strengthen. That momentum held with UK CPI data disappointing, as it came in below expectations. On the local front, the SA CPI dropped slightly, putting it firmly in the target range.

Rand rebounds on weak Dollar and “Hard Brexit”

By 1st Contact 18-07-17 11:51

Last week the Rand weakened on news that the controversial mining charter would be implemented, and opened at R13.5667 before ending the week on a stronger note at R13.0332. This regaining of strength was largely on the back of settling local politics and a weaker USD.

treasury intervenes

The Rand falters as local political risk rises

By 1st Contact 11-07-17 15:24

Last week saw the Rand experience yet a further decline due to the political turmoil in South Africa. The scuffle to gain control of state-owned assets has now spilled over to the private sector. Zuma announced that land expropriation without compensation should be allowed where it is “unavoidable and necessary”.

Rand trades in a tight range as SARB fights back

By 1st Contact 27-06-17 12:59

The last seven days have seen a lot of volatility in international markets. At the same time, there have been numerous recriminations and scandals coming to light thanks to the Gupta leaks. Together with some uninspiring economic data, the Rand has remained remarkably resilient under pressure. Let’s take a more in-depth look at why this is happening.

gigaba live budget speech

Resilient Rand shrugs off Moody’s downgrade

By 1st Contact 13-06-17 12:23

Last Friday evening Moody’s confirmed market expectation when it downgraded South Africa’s long-term and senior unsecured ratings to Baa3 from Baa2. This now sits only one notch above junk status. The Rand softened in the hours after the announcement but gained momentum on Sunday evening, trading at lows of 16.17 to the Pound.

Markets may or may not know what’ll become of the Rand

By 1st Contact 08-06-17 11:56

The Rand found itself in a dominating position in the final phases of May, owing mainly to the recent drop in inflation. Another possible explanation to the rally against the major currencies was last week’s unchanged ratings from Fitch and S&P, as well as the greenback sell off after Friday’s disappointing US jobs data. Moreover, today’s UK election is likely to play havoc with the Rand’s value.

The ups and downs of the South African Rand

By 1st Contact 23-05-17 13:00

Last week the Rand was down and hit R13.45 against the Dollar as political turmoil in the US and abroad caused investors to take a risk averse approach. This led to Rand weakness as emerging market currencies were sold off.

Commodity prices and a strong USD drive Rand down

By 1st Contact 09-05-17 13:46

Over the last two weeks we have seen the ZAR slowly lose ground against the major currencies. This comes after some surprising resilience in the currency after the downgrades in preceding weeks. Durban hosted the World Economic Forum summit on Africa last week, where we saw the new finance minister, Malusi Gigaba, try and reassure investors that the treasury remains committed to fiscal consolidation.

Rand continues its roller coaster ride

By 1st Contact 02-05-17 14:39

The South African Rand ended last week on a back foot after the first-round French election results favoured nominee Emmanuel Macron and his party. Macron emerged as a favourite after securing 24.01% of the vote versus Marine Le Pen’s 21.30%.

treasury intervenes

Rand rallies to three-week high

By 1st Contact 25-04-17 13:42

The Rand’s recent slump seems to have subsided somewhat, with the local currency reverting to pre-cabinet reshuffle levels. Some analysts are now predicting that the ZAR is heading back to fairer valuations. The Rand opened last week 13.22 per Dollar, its firmest since 31 March.

Budget Speech malusi gigaba

The ZAR recovers: But for how long?

By 1st Contact 18-04-17 14:28

The Rand has made a significant recovery in the last week as political turmoil cools down following the cabinet re-shuffle. We have seen the GBP-ZAR climb back down to well below the 17.00 psychological mark and the USD-ZAR fall below 13.00 again.

Is it all doom and gloom for the Rand?

By 1st Contact 11-04-17 14:28

The Rand began the week on the backfoot after the fallout from March’s cabinet reshuffle became more intense. The generally negative sentiment surrounding the Rand lead to the ratings downgrade by S&P and later Fitch.

What happens now Jacob Zuma has been recalled by the ANC?

Hard times for the Rand

By 1st Contact 05-04-17 13:25

The Rand opened last week on the back foot following the decision of President Jacob Zuma to recall then Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan from an international roadtrip. The Rand weakened by over 1.5% against all majors amidst speculation that Cabinet reshuffle was on the cards. Once the reshuffle happened the Rand took a dive.

Pravin Gordhan

The Rand: It’s Déjà vu all over again

By 1st Contact 28-03-17 11:54

Yesterday morning ZAR traders were caught on the back foot when news broke that Finance minister Pravin Gordhan was summoned back from an investor roadshow in the UK. The office of the president confirmed that Zuma had ordered Mr. Gordhan to return to South Africa sending the Rand into a 5% slide.

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Sturdy Rand continues rally

By 1st Contact 14-03-17 16:06

The Rand opened last week on the backfoot after the release of disappointing fourth quarter GDP data. The economy’s growth contracted by -0.3%, somewhat worse than the 0.4% growth that was expected.

mcebisi jonas

The Rand continues to ride high

By 1st Contact 07-03-17 12:59

The Rand has remained one of the strongest rising currencies on the market, with an increase of 6.15% against the US Dollar and 5.14% against the Euro since the beginning of this year. Despite market expectations, we are seeing no signs of the trend slowing down.

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The Rand remains on the up

By 1st Contact 28-02-17 12:26

This past week we saw the ZAR continue to gain against all major currencies. Contrary to many people’s expectations, the 2017 Budget Speech added further momentum to the Rand rally, even though it didn’t provide much good news for South Africans.

SONA postponed

ZAR strength continues despite SONA

By 1st Contact 14-02-17 11:58

Last week ended off with a rather chaotic State of the Nation Address by President Jacob Zuma. The evening was quite a fiasco, with major opposition parties, the EFF and DA, being removed from the chamber and walking out of the event.

Rand firms ahead of SONA

By 1st Contact 07-02-17 12:29

The Rand experienced a good week after favourable trade data. Stats SA revealed that there was a R12 billion trade surplus for the month of December, beating the R6 billion figure that analysts had forecast. This came as a relief after November’s disappointing R-1.7 billion deficit.

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Rand continues to strengthen in 2017

By 1st Contact 24-01-17 14:51

After a turbulent 2016, amidst local political stressors and threatened ratings downgrades, the Rand has seen relatively large gains against the Pound and the US Dollar since the start of 2017.

Rand benefits from Pound weakness

By 1st Contact 10-01-17 13:15

It’s been a relatively quiet start to 2017 in currency markets. Despite this, the Rand has enjoyed a good run against both the Dollar and the Pound, with the latter having a hard time of it of late.

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SA dodges junk, Rand improves

By 1st Contact 05-12-16 12:43

We walk into the new week with South Africa having sidestepped a ratings downgrade to junk last week. As a result, the Rand has strengthen just over 2% to the US Dollar.

The easiest ways to claim a British passport

By 1st Contact 31-10-16 11:30

A lot of South Africans are dead keen on getting their hands on that maroon British passport. The good news? It could be a lot easier than you think. Thanks to the shared history between the two countries, there are loads of South Africans who can trace their ancestry back to the UK or one of its former territories.

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Rand rallies despite political challenges

By 1st Contact 24-10-16 14:00

The past week has seen the ZAR recover its losses after news of Pravin Gordhan’s summons for fraud caused unrest in the market place two weeks ago. The Rand reached a low of 16.95 against the Pound and a low of 13.82 to the USD during the course of the week.

gordhan

Rand seesaws as political clashes heat up

By 1st Contact 17-10-16 12:15

Last week’s big news revolved around the fraud charges brought against Finance Minister, Pravin Gordhan. The Rand has been extremely volatile as Gordhan and his opponents traded blows throughout the week and into the weekend.

Dust settles after volatile week

By 1st Contact 10-10-16 12:05

Last week ended off with a bombshell for the GBP, with the currency losing 6.1% against the USD in just two minutes. With the Pound at its lowest level in 31 years, many South Africans have been buying as much of the English currency as they can.

Fed puts rates on hold, boosts Rand

By 1st Contact 26-09-16 10:41

The Rand appreciated against all the major currencies last week, making the most gains of all emerging currencies. This was largely as a result of traders awaiting the US Fed’s rate announcement.

Rand continues slow climb

By 1st Contact 19-09-16 16:54

The Rand began last week on a weak note, opening at 19.16 to Pound and 14.52 to the US Dollar last Monday. This weakness was short lived and the Rand strengthened dramatically.

Use a gap year to kick-start your career

By 1st Contact 01-09-16 11:10

South Africans wanting to take a gap year may find the idea quite daunting because of the cost involved. However, using the time and your money wisely can be rewarding both personally and professionally.

Australian immigration points test

How to pass the Australian immigration points test

By 1st Contact 31-08-16 14:30

Thousands of people immigrate to Australia from all over the world every year. The land Down Under is particularly popular with South African and UK citizens looking to move to (or stay living in) a country with wide-open spaces and year-round sunshine. If you want a visa you’re going to have to pass a points-based test and in this post we’re going to tell you how to do that.

Ratings downgrade back on the cards after a turbulent week

By 1st Contact 30-08-16 11:39

The South African Rand has suffered its worst weekly performance since the Nenegate saga in December 2015. It seems that Pravin Gordhan’s role as Finance minister continues to come under scrutiny after the Hawks instructed him to report to their offices for questioning last week Thursday. Upon the release of the news, the Rand fell sharply from USD/ZAR 13.50 to 14.02 within minutes. Trading sessions thereafter saw the Rand dip to a low of USD/ZAR 14.52.

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Rand remains strong, but for how long?

By 1st Contact 22-08-16 12:03

Last week was characterised by the ZAR weakening against the Pound. The Rand hit a high of 17.82, from a low of 17.07. The decrease in value of the Pound, the British Tourism industry saw an increase of visitors to the UK. This gave the Pound strength once again.

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Rand capitalises on emerging market rush

By 1st Contact 15-08-16 12:56

The overall mood in the markets at the start of the week appeared to be positive as the influx of money into developing-market assets served to pull the Rand even higher. Strong jobs data in the US further lowered hopes for any interest rate hikes in the world’s biggest economies, fuelling a rush in demand for emerging market currencies.

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The Rand strengthens for four weeks straight

By 1st Contact 25-07-16 11:52

The Rand reached its strongest level against the Pound in 12 months on Friday afternoon, closing at 18.737. The Rand also exhibited signs of strength against the US Dollar, ending the week at 14.293 after beginning the week at 14.337.

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Rand holds firm despite international turmoil

By 1st Contact 18-07-16 13:44

Last week started off with major USD power after exceptional labour data reports from the country. Overall, the ZAR has been on a strengthening streak, with the market as a whole progressing to a more “risk on” approach.

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Brexit-related volatility guides Rand

By 1st Contact 20-06-16 12:07

The Rand declined by approximately 1.5%, reaching its lowest level in more than a week. This drop occurred on Tuesday, after the Reserve bank announced that the current account deficit has widened from 4.6% in the last quarter of 2015 to 5% in the first quarter of 2016.

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Ratings reprieve lends Rand a hand

By 1st Contact 06-06-16 10:55

Ratings agency S&P has kept South Africa’s long-term credit rating at “BBB-” with a negative outlook. As a result, we have seen some significant improvement in the rates, with the USD/ZAR trading at around 15.10 this morning, compared to Thursday’s close of 15.66.

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Emerging market jitters take Rand for a ride

By 1st Contact 09-05-16 12:12

Following a public holiday on Monday, the Rand firmed slightly against the Dollar early last week Tuesday. This was short-lived and by the end of the day the Rand dropped more than 1% against the stronger currency. The chief drivers of this decline were global risk aversion and increased import demand in the market.

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